Tuesday, May 13, 2008

Champions League Final

Well it is going down to the wire at the top and bottom of the Premiership and apart from the upcoming Champions League Final this will be the final week of predicting every Premiership and Champions league game since October last year.
Birmingham v Blackburn
Birmingham -0.5 goals @ 2.14/2.17
Middlesbrough v Man City
Middlesbrough -0.5 goals @ 2.13/2.18
Portsmouth v Fulham
Portsmouth +0.5 goals @ 1.79/1.84
Chelsea v Bolton
Chelsea -2 goals @ 2.01/2.07
Derby v Reading
Derby +1 goal @ 2.08/2.14
Everton v Newcastle
Everton -0.5 goals @ 1.89/1.91
Spurs v Liverpool
Liverpool +0 goals @ 1.92/1.99
Sunderland v Arsenal
Arsenal – 0.5 goals @ 1.90/1.92
West Ham v Aston Villa
Aston Villa +0 goals @ 1.59/1.69
Wigan v Man Utd
Wigan +2 goals @ 1.58/1.64
At the top of the table I expect both teams to win. However, it may be late on in the afternoon before we know if Manchester United will retain their title. The odds on them are ludicrous and there has to be some value in Wigan +2 goals @ 1.58/1.64.
At the other end of the table of the 3 teams I expect Birmingham to have the best of it as they are at home against a side with nothing to play for. Due to Readings inability to score away from home I don’t think Derby are too badly priced at 2.04 -1 goal.
The game that really interests me is Portsmouth v Fulham with its various factors. With there being so much money in the Premiership a Portsmouth victory could net them over £2 million depending on league position at +0.5 goals they are worth consideration but beware of the team they send out with next weeks FA Cup final in mind.
Liverpool and Aston villa both have very good away form and I am taking both teams off scratch.
Very difficult to sum up the Middlesbrough v Man City game and the Sunderland v Arsenal matches because again there is very little to play for.
Finally my bet of the weekend would have to be Everton at home to Newcastle. Everton have an excellent home record to all but the big four clubs and I fancy them to secure a win to guarantee them a European slot.

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