Chennai v Deccan

Chennai v Deccan(14:30 GMT)Venue:MA Chidambaram Stadium, Chepauk, Chennai................Star packed teams, Tournament favourites at start, having real Twenty20 players etc. quoted for both teams before start of the tournament. Yes all these statements are true but still they are struggling in this tournament in fact Deccan at the bottom of the points table and Chennai after good start (they won 4 in row) now at 4th place.Chennai 3 main foreign players are gone to perform their national duties so there performance is acceptable but Deccan doing very bad since start.Anyway a great high scoring contest is expected today and hopefully not a one sided match like last 2 matches.Main points:1. Ground/pitch:High scoring match is expected and below 180 score may prove not enough to defend.2. Teams:>ChennaiFleming , Morkel , Dhoni , M Hussey , Vidyut , Muralidharan and SK Raina are key players. Have batting depth but poor performance in last 2 games.>DeccanGilchrist , Gibbs , Afridi , R Sharma and S Styris are key players. Explosive batting lineup but failed to perform collectively so far.3.Early prices and market mood.Deccan favourites at 1.78 presently.It should be evens imo but as always market may have some reasons. Chennai playing at home ground which is a plus factor to them. Market mood is presently with Deccan but this is the match in which we may see swing in that on both sides inplay. .................Strategy for match:Almost equal teams are playing so there may be many flip flops in match especially when pitch is good for batting. Means both teams may traded at 1.4x at some stage.Also high scoring match is possible so the team who will bat first the is most likely winner of this match.Well main strategy is to batting team around 1.4x-1.5x if comes early in first innings, because at innings break even on 200 score odds are not going to be less than 1.4x because of the batting strength on paper of both sides. Also plan is to lay but small bowling team @1.4x if comes in first 10 overs of the 1st innings because both sides have batting depth. But before lay there should be some score on the board..................Predicted target odds & 1st innings plan:(A) If Chennai bat first:230 1.1x210 1.3x190 1.7x170 2.4x150 4.2x130 7.6x110 15*All are Chennai odds.Plan If Chennai bat first:1.Lay Deccan 100@1.4x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 3 wickets but score 50+ because if batting collapse them there may be some chance to trade out. (Always prefer low stakes while laying bowling team because if batting collapse then loss can be minimum)Green up on +20-30 ticks but more on Deccan.Stop loss :Standard stop loss is 8-10 ticks but in Twenty20 it usually hit very early so try to back at same odds if no profit in 4-5 overs or take stop loss 10-14 ticks if it looks batting is difficult at this wicket.2.Lay Chennai50@1.8x50@1.6x100@1.4xif comes in 1st 10 overs.Back plan is such to take equal profit after any lay or combined lays.Stop loss :Average odds going to belay 200@1.5x ChennaiIf you see 200+ score is possible then consider trade out at same odds around 12-15 overs or take 10-14 ticks stop loss at that time if no profit.3.Lay Chennai 200@1.4x if comes in 10-15 overs after 3 wickets and runrate below 9.Stop loss at innings break on available odds....................(B) If Deccan bat first:230 1.1x210 1.2x190 1.4x170 1.7x150 3.6x130 6.2x110 12*All are Deccan odds.Plan If Deccan bat first:*Plan is almost same as Chennai innings and only change in odds range.1.Lay Chennai 100@1.5x if comes in 1st 10 overs upto 3 wickets but score 60+ because if batting collapse them there may be some chance to trade out.Green up on +20-30 ticks but more on Deccan.Stop loss 12-16 ticks.2.Lay Deccan50@1.4x50@1.3x100@1.2xif comes in 1st 10 overs.Back plan is such to take equal profit after any lay or combined lays.Stop loss :Average odds going to belay 200@1.3x DeccanSo either try to take stop loss around same odds in 10-15 overs or take 6-8 ticks stop loss.3.Lay Deccan 200@1.14 if comes anytime in 1st innings because imo upto 230 odds are not going to less than 1.12Back plan 120% above 10-15 ticks and stop loss on available odds at innings break.All the best.Dip